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US and World Markets for DWDM Multiplexers and EDFAs
Multi-Wavelength Opportunities in the Long-Haul and Metro

DWDM has become a standard part of all long-haul fiber optic transport systems. Although the technology is just entering use in metro networks, DWDM has become a mainstream technology for two-way CATV feeds to the local hub, for enterprise systems connectivity (ESCON), for Internet data centers (IDC), and for the booming XSP market, including application, Internet and storage service providers. The major components and functions of DWDM systems are described, and global and market segment forecasts are provided for unit shipment growth for DWDM multiplexers. Geographic market segment forecasts are given for the US, Japan, Western Europe and the rest of the world. Individual forecasts cover the submarine, continent-hop and mesh long-haul equipment markets. Forecasts are also provided for DWDM equipment uptake to serve the needs of the CATV, IDC, carrier hotel, XSP, ESCON, and network access markets. Erbium-doped fiber amplifier (EDFA) shipment forecasts are also provided for the long-haul segments.





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  Release Date : January 3, 2001


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Table of Contents

Scope of Study

Process and Results          

Sources and Methodology 

Notes 

Section 1        
Executive Summary 

    1.1  Overview of DWDM Equipment and Markets

    1.2  Fractal Geometry of the Global Optical Network

    1.3  What Is Being Transmitted?

    1.4  How Far Will Fiber Penetrate?

    1.5  The Size of the DWDM Market

    1.5.1  Traffic Grows in the Metro

Section 2        
DWDM Technologies 

    2.1  Bandwidth Demand Forces Move to Faster Transmission Technologies

    2.2  Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing (DWDM) Operating Principles

    2.3  Critical DWDM System Components

    2.3.1  Lasers for DWDM Applications

    2.3.1.1  Continuous Wave Lasers

    2.3.1.2  Vertical Cavity Surface Emitting Lasers

    2.3.2  Optical Couplers

    2.3.3  Fiber Optic Amplifiers for DWDM Applications

    2.3.3.1  Erbium-Doped Fiber Amplifiers

    2.3.4  DWDM Transceivers

    2.3.5  DWDM Transponders

    2.3.6  Planar Array Waveguides

    2.4  DWDM for Hybrid Fiber Coax

    2.5  Technologies that Compete with DWDM

    2.5.1  Optical Time Division Multiplexing

    2.5.2  Optical Frequency Division Multiplexing

    2.5.3  Free Space Optics

Section 3
Business and Regulatory Issues 

    3.1  DWDM Becomes the Current Best Solution

    3.2  The Markets for DWDM

    3.2.1  The Long-Haul Business

    3.2.1.1  Submarine Long-Haul DWDM Market Drivers

    3.2.1.2  Terrestrial Long-Haul DWDM Market Drivers

    3.2.2  Wide-Area Optical Cross-Connects

    3.2.3  Metropolitan Area Network DWDM Business Factors

    3.2.3.1  The Value of the Human Voice Declines with Time

    3.2.3.2  Metros Are Key to Keeping Businesses in Town

    3.2.4  The Access Market

    3.3  The Carrier Situation: Business and Investment Boom And Bust

    3.3.1  DWDM Market Drivers

    3.3.1.1  DWDM Shifts the Cost Factor Focus

    3.3.1.2  Access Cost Focus Differs from Long-Haul Cost

    3.3.2  Metro Fiber Consumption

    3.3.2.1  Accommodating Enterprise Needs

    3.4  DWDM Selling Points

    3.4.1  Protocol Agnostic

    3.4.2  Limited Long-Haul Rights of Way Encourage Optimum Use of High Capacity Stations

    3.5  The Impacts of Standards

    3.5.1  Gigabit Ethernet Standard in the Metro

    3.5.2  To Each Their Own Standard

    3.6  Merger Wave Causing Cross-Connect Bottlenecks in the Metro

    3.7  Manufacturing Automation Is Key to Deeper Penetration

    3.8  DWDM Equipment Customers

    3.8.1  Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Customers

    3.8.2  Long-Haul Submarine DWDM Customers

    3.8.3  Metro DWDM Customers

    3.8.3.1  Local Exchange Carriers

    3.8.4  Enterprise Systems Connectivity

    3.8.4.1  Business-to-Business Transactions

    3.8.5  Internet Data Centers

    3.8.6  Carrier Hotels

    3.8.7  Application Service Providers

    3.8.8  Network Access

    3.8.9  Community Antenna Television Companies

    3.9  Fiber-to-the-Home

    3.10  Impacts of Delinquencies on Equipment Uptake

Section 4
Market Segmentation 

    4.1  DWDM Markets

    4.2  DWDM Market Segments

    4.3  Global Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.3.1  Continent-Spanning Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.3.2  Long-Haul Submarine DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.4  MAN DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.4.1  Internet Data Centers DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.4.2  Application Service Provider DWDM Markets

    4.4.3  Metro ESCON DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.4.4  Two-Way CATV DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.4.5  SAN DWDM Equipment Markets

    4.5  Metro DWDM Market Drivers

    4.6  Low-Population Accumulators Get Fed to the Mesh

    4.7  Markets for DWDM Competing Technologies

    4.7.1  Competition from WDM Equipment

    4.7.2  Competition from SONET/SDH Equipment

Section 5        
Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Markets 

    5.1  Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Markets

    5.2  Global Long-Haul Submarine DWDM Equipment Market

    5.2.1  Global Submarine EDFA Market

    5.2.2  Global Market for Landing Point Submarine Fiber DWDM Multiplexers

    5.2.3  Aggregate Landing Point DWDM Equipment Market

    5.3  Global Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Equipment Market

    5.3.1  Characteristics of Terrestrial Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Markets

    5.3.2  Screening Out Metro Area Networks from Backbone Distances

    5.3.3  Global Terrestrial Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Forecast

    5.3.3.1  all Global Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Market Value

    5.4  Regional Terrestrial Long-Haul DWDM Markets

    5.4.1  US/Canada Terrestrial Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Markets

    5.4.1.1  US/Canada Submarine Cable Landing Point DWDM Market

    5.4.1.2  US/Canada Terrestrial Long-Haul Mesh DWDM Equipment Market

    5.4.2  Western Europe Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Markets

    5.4.2.1  Western Europe Submarine Cable Landing Point DWDM Market

    5.4.2.2  Western Europe Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Equipment Markets

    5.4.2.3  EDFAs in European Long-Haul Metros

    5.4.3  Rest of World Long-Haul DWDM Equipment Markets

    5.4.3.1  RoW Submarine Cable Landing Points DWDM Equipment Markets

    5.4.3.2  RoW Submarine Cable Landing Points Seaside DWDM Equipment Markets

Section 6
Metro DWDM Markets 

    6.1  Metro DWDM Market Segments

    6.1.1  World Metro Markets

    6.1.1.1  Innovation Is Key to Expanding Markets

    6.2  Global Metro DWDM Market Forecasts

    6.2.1  The Global Metro Internet Data Center DWDM Market

    6.2.2  The Global ESCON DWDM Equipment Market

    6.2.2.1  Global SAN DWDM Equipment Market

    6.2.3  The Global CATV DWDM Equipment Market

    6.2.3.1  Global Number of Two-Way CATV Homes

    6.2.3.2  Global DWDM CATV Primary Hub (MUX) Market

    6.2.3.3  Global DWDM CATV Secondary Hub (MUX) Market

    6.2.3.4  Aggregate Primary and Secondary CATV Hub (MUX) Market

    6.2.3.5  Global CATV EDFA Market

    6.2.4  Global Metro Network Access DWDM Market

    6.2.5  Global Carrier Hotel DWDM Market

    6.2.6  Global "xSP" Metro DWDM Markets

    6.2.6.1  Global ASP Activity

    6.3  US/Canada Metro DWDM Equipment Markets

    6.3.1  US/Canada Internet Data Center DWDM Equipment Market

    6.3.2  US/Canada ESCON DWDM Equipment Market

    6.3.3  US/Canada CATV DWDM Equipment Market

    6.3.3.1  US/Canada CATV DWDM Secondary Hub (MUX) Market

    6.3.3.2  US/Canada CATV Network EDFA Market

    6.3.4  The US/Canada Carrier Hotel DWDM Market

    6.3.5  US/Canada Regional Network Access DWDM Equipment Market

    6.4  European Union Metro DWDM Equipment Markets

    6.4.1  European Union Internet Data Center DWDM Equipment Market

    6.4.2  European Union ESCON DWDM Equipment Market

    6.4.3  European Union CATV DWDM Equipment Market

    6.4.3.1  Eastern Europe CATV DWDM Equipment Opportunities

    6.4.4  European Union Carrier Hotel DWDM Equipment Market

    6.4.5  European Union Network Access DWDM Equipment Market

    6.5  Japan Metro DWDM Equipment Markets

    6.5.1  Japan Network Access DWDM Equipment Market

    6.5.2  Japan CATV DWDM Equipment Market

Appendix A
Company Directory

Appendix B    
Mergers and Acquisitions   

Appendix C    
Acronyms      

Charts and Tables  

    DWDM Multiplexer Shipment Value, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Fiber, Wireless, and Satellite Data Transmission Capabilities: 1999 and 2002

    Submarine Fiber Optic Cable Mileage, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    DWDM-Capable Submarine Cable In-Service Mileage by Region: 2000 and 2001

    Submarine Fiber Optic Cable EDFA Market, Global Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    Submarine Fiber Optic Cable EDFA Market Value, Global Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Points, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market Value, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market Value, Global Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Terrestrial Fiber Optic Cable Mileage, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Terrestrial DWDM-Compatible Fiber Optic Cable Mileage, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Metro Markets, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    New Metro Rings, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Metro Fiber Cable Mileage,  Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Terrestrial Long-Haul Fiber Cable Mileage, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    DWDM-Compatible Terrestrial Long-Haul Fiber Cable Miles, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Multiplexer Market, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Multiplexer Market Value, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Points, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market Value, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market Value, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Multiplexer Market, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Multiplexer Market Value, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Points, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market Value, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point DWDM Equipment Market Value, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Long-Haul Terrestrial DWDM Multiplexer Market, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Long-Haul Metros: Networks, Fiber Cable Mileage and Points of Presence,  Western Europe, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Long-Haul Metros: Networks, Fiber Cable Mileage and Points of Presence, Western Europe, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Terrestrial EDFA Market, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Terrestrial EDFA Market Value, Western Europe Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Points, RoW Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, RoW Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market Value, RoW Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market, RoW Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Network Interconnect and Submarine Cable Landing Point Seaside DWDM Equipment Market Value, RoW Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Metro Markets, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2001

    IDCs, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    New IDCs, Global Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    DWDM MUXs at New IDCs, Global Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    SANs, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    SAN DWDM MUX/DEMUX Equipment Total Available Market Shipments, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Data Warehouse and Hot Site DWDM MUX/DEMUX Equipment Total Available Market Value, Global Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    CATV 2-Way Digital Cable Modem Subscribers, Global Market: 1999 to 2006

    CATV 2-Way Digital Cable Modem Subscribers Passed, Global Market: 1999 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), Global Market, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, Global Market, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), Global Market, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, Global Market, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), Global Market, Moderate Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, Global Market, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), Global Market, Aggressive Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, Global Market, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Primary and Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, Global Market, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Aggregate Primary and Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, Global Market, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    CATV EDFAs, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    CATV EDFA Market Value, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Metro Access DWDM Equipment Market, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Metro Access POP DWDM Equipment Market Value, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Carrier Hotels, Global Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Carrier Hotel DWDM Equipment Market, Global Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    Carrier Hotel DWDM Equipment Market Value, Global Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    IDCs, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    New IDCs, US/Canada Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    DWDM MUXs at New IDCs, US/Canada Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    SANs, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    SAN DWDM MUX/DEMUX Equipment Total Available Market (TAM), US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Data Warehouse and Hot Site DWDM MUX/DEMUX Equipment: Total Available Market Shipments, US/Canada Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    CATV Subscribers, US/Canada: 1999 to 2006

    CATV 2-Way Subscribers, US/Canada Forecasts: 1999 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), US/Canada, Moderate Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, US/Canada, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), US/Canada, Aggressive Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    Primary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, US/Canada, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), US/Canada, Moderate Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, US/Canada, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), US/Canada, Aggressive Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value, US/Canada, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Primary and Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs), US/Canada, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Primary and Secondary CATV DWDM Hubs (MUXs) Market Value,  Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    CATV EDFAs for 2-Way Networks, US/Canada, Moderate Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    CATV EDFA Market Value, US/Canada, Moderate Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    CATV EDFAs for 2-Way Networks, US/Canada, Aggressive Forecast: 1999 to 2006

    CATV EDFA Market Value, US/Canada, Aggressive Forecast: 2000 to 2006

    Carrier Hotels, US/Canada Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Carrier Hotel DWDM Equipment Market, US/Canada Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    Carrier Hotel DWDM Equipment Market Value, US/Canada Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    IDCs, European Union Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    New IDCs, European Union Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    DWDM MUXs at New IDCs, European Union Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    SANs, European Union Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    SAN DWDM MUX/DEMUX Equipment Total Available Market Shipments, European Union Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Data Warehouse and Hot Site DWDM MUX/DEMUX Equipment Total Available Market Shipments, European Union Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    Carrier Hotels, European Union Forecasts: 2000 to 2006

    Carrier Hotel DWDM Equipment Market, European Union Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

    Carrier Hotel DWDM Equipment Market Value, European Union Forecasts: 2001 to 2006

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